Strategy's Bitcoin Bet Faces Scrutiny as STRC Falls Below Par
Bitcoin is down over 40% since Strategy launched STRC, raising fresh questions about Michael Saylor's BTC accumulation playbook.
If you've been following Michael Saylor's grand Bitcoin experiment, the past few months have been a little awkward to watch. Bitcoin has shed more than 40% of its value since Strategy rolled out its STRC preferred stock offering, and that instrument has since slipped below its par value — which is basically the financial equivalent of your investment thesis getting a very public wedgie.
For the uninitiated, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) built its entire identity around a so-called Bitcoin flywheel: issue equity or debt, buy more Bitcoin, watch the stock price rise, then repeat. It's a bold loop that works beautifully in a bull market. When prices are falling, though, the gears start grinding. STRC trading below par signals that investors aren't exactly lining up to fund the next round of BTC purchases, which puts a real dent in Saylor's ability to keep stacking.
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Critics who have been quietly skeptical of the flywheel model are feeling a little vindicated right now. The concern was always that the strategy depends on perpetual momentum — and momentum, as any trader will tell you, has a nasty habit of reversing. A slowing pace of Bitcoin buys from Strategy is itself notable, since the company's aggressive accumulation had become something of a market signal for crypto bulls.
To be fair, Strategy still holds an enormous Bitcoin treasury, and Saylor has never been shy about riding out volatility. The company's long-term thesis — that Bitcoin eventually outperforms any dilution cost — hasn't technically been disproven yet. But the short-term optics are rough, and the debate over whether the flywheel is genuinely "fine" or just one more down-leg away from serious stress is very much alive.
Whether you're a Saylor believer or a skeptic, this stretch is a real-world stress test for a strategy that has never really been tested at this scale during a prolonged downturn. Continue reading at Cointelegraph.