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Bitcoin Supply Metric Flashes First Buy Signal Since 2022

A key Bitcoin supply indicator just triggered its first buy signal since November 2022, though analysts warn prices could still fall further.

If you've been watching Bitcoin's price action lately and wondering when the pain might end, one closely followed supply metric just offered a small dose of hope — its first buy signal since November 2022, right around the last bear market bottom.

The indicator in question tracks Bitcoin's supply dynamics, essentially looking at how coins are moving (or not moving) on-chain to gauge whether long-term holders are accumulating or dumping. When the metric flashes a buy signal, it historically suggests the market may be approaching a turning point — the kind of moment where patient investors start quietly loading up before the crowd notices.

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Here's the catch, though: analysts aren't popping champagne just yet. Even with this bullish signal printing for the first time in over two years, the broader assessment is that BTC could still head lower before any sustained recovery takes hold. Bear markets have a nasty habit of sucking in optimistic buyers early, so one indicator alone isn't a green light to go all-in.

For context, the last time this signal appeared was November 2022 — a period that, in hindsight, marked a generational buying opportunity near Bitcoin's cycle low. That history is why traders are paying attention now, even if caution remains the dominant mood. Recognizing a signal is one thing; timing your entry around it is a whole different skill set.

Bottom line: if you're a long-term Bitcoin believer, this metric is worth keeping on your radar. But if you're expecting an immediate moonshot, the analysis suggests you might want to temper those expectations and keep some dry powder handy in case prices dip further. Continue reading at Cointelegraph.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What does a Bitcoin supply buy signal actually mean?

A buy signal from a supply metric typically indicates that on-chain data — like how coins are being held or moved — is showing patterns historically associated with market bottoms, suggesting it could be a favorable time to accumulate BTC.

Q.When was the last time this Bitcoin supply metric flashed a buy signal?

The last time this particular supply metric triggered a buy signal was November 2022, which in hindsight coincided with a major bear market low for Bitcoin.

Q.Does this buy signal mean Bitcoin's price will go up now?

Not necessarily — analysts caution that despite the bullish signal, Bitcoin's price could still move lower before a sustained recovery begins, so the signal is a data point to watch rather than a guaranteed bottom call.

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